• Welcome to Smashboards, the world's largest Super Smash Brothers community! Over 250,000 Smash Bros. fans from around the world have come to discuss these great games in over 19 million posts!

    You are currently viewing our boards as a visitor. Click here to sign up right now and start on your path in the Smash community!

Bracketology

HondaFoo

BRoomer
BRoomer
Joined
Dec 12, 2001
Messages
2,933
Location
KANSAS
NNID
HondaFoo
Don't be cute with your upsets

A 1 seed has NEVER lost in the first round

A 12 seed beating a 5 is the most common upset

All four 1 seeds have made the Final Four only ONCE EVER (2008)

Pay attention to which teams are hot right now, and which are cold

Pay attention to mid-majors that are vastly under-seeded (they usually do a lot of damage—see George Mason, Butler)

Uhh I dunno what else
 

ballin4life

Smash Hero
Joined
Nov 12, 2008
Messages
5,534
Location
disproving determinism
Depending on the size of your pool, you have to pick something strange.

Don't go for the favorite to win it all, because everyone else in the pool will have that. In a 20 person pool go for like the 4th best team, because if that team wins, you are almost guaranteed to win, whereas if you pick the favorite and the favorite wins you aren't even guaranteed to get money (since everyone else picked the favorite). The more people in your pool the more exotic you should get.

For first round games you can go to sportsbook.com or any online gambling site and look up the lines. If a line is close, pick the underdog (assuming you get 12 points for correctly picking a 12 seed). If it's a strict 1 pt for all matches first round then pick all favorites.
 

ballin4life

Smash Hero
Joined
Nov 12, 2008
Messages
5,534
Location
disproving determinism
In an ironic twist, I got second in my 20 person bracket despite getting none of the final four teams right ... so my above strategy completely failed me and I just got second because I got lucky with a lot of my first and second round picks.
 
Top Bottom