Originally Posted by Mic_128 View Post
I don't want to point to the Meta tourney results again v.v
Yuna said:
They prove MK is popular. And?
That is a logically inconsistent answer.
You've mentioned popularity several times, and you've said that popularity is not a basis for banning a character. Considered alone, I agree with that. Popularity, in and of itself, does not justify a ban.
You've mentioned Sirlin frequently, so I assume you believe that overcentralization of the metagame is sufficient for a ban.
But there is a problem with overcentralization and your usage of the word "popularity".
One of the primary, valid methods of identifying overcentralization is analysis of tournament results lists over a long period of time. If a certain character, when considering the overall average of all results to help mitigate the impact of player skill, can be seen to consistently dominate those results, that character can be said to be overcentralizing the game.
So, if the
average of all tournament results looks like this:
Meta
Meta
Meta
Snake
Meta
then there is overcentralization in the metagame.
Yet, you respond to that and say that such a result is merely a display of "popularity" rather than overcentralization.
This amounts to the claim that "If a large number people play a character, that character will dominate the tournament results due solely to the fact that a large number of people play that character." You are saying that the reason MK has so much success is not because he is overcentralizing the game; rather, it is due to the large number of players using him. Therefore, if a character is popular, according to your logic, tournament results lists will simply show that popularity, and are insufficient to prove overcentralization.
That claim is easily proven false.
Imagine the top 25 players in the nation. Imagine that all of them except for 5 suddenly start using Donkey Kong. This means that Donkey Kong is popular. Imagine that the other 5 players use DeDeDe. According to your proposition, due to the fact that Donkey Kong is so wildly popular, he should dominate the tournament results. However, it is clear that the top 5 would consistently be
D3
D3
D3
D3
D3
because DK cannot consistently beat DeDeDe.
Imagine that all of the Donkey Players instead switch to Jigglypuff and the remaining 5 players use Mr. Game & Watch. Again, the more popular character would not be present in the tournament results because Jigglypuff cannot consistently beat G&W.
The same scenario could be imagined with numerous character combinations, all with the same logical conclusion. Namely: popularity does not necessitate or predict tournament dominance. Popularity cannot logically be shown to lead to tournament dominance. Only absolute popularity, meaning that everybody uses the same character, leads to tournament dominance. Since absolute popularity is not present in the Brawl community, tournament results cannot logically be attributed to popularity.
As this simple bit of logic shows, tournament results are not driven by popularity. They are driven by the ability of a character to win.
So, it follows that your claim that the result
MK
MK
MK
Snake
MK
could possibly be attributed purely to popularity is a completely absurd idea, because the results lists are not driven by popularity, they are driven by the ability of characters to win. So when the average of all tournament results show that Meta Knight is dominating, it has nothing to do with popularity, and everything to do with the fact that MK's ability to win is resulting in an overcentralization of the metagame.
Now, whether or not the actual average of all tournament results really shows that MK has such a dominance is open to debate; but your assertion that popularity has anything to do with it is completely false.